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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model UAlbany Great Danes Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“

Actual: Fordham Rams +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amar'e Marshall 35 10-18 2-5 2-3 6 4 2 0 5 24 13 -1.0
Byron Joshua 32 5-13 4-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 16 9 +11.3
Justin Neely 30 8-12 0-1 3-5 8 3 2 0 2 19 18 +2.4
DeMarr Langford Jr. 30 4-9 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 2 1 13 12 +5.7
Kacper Klaczek 25 1-2 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 5 7 -0.9
Amir Lindsey 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -13.7
Kheni Briggs 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -6.6
Damon Strand 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.6
Zach Matulu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.9

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Japhet Medor 38 3-7 1-3 6-8 0 9 2 0 4 13 13 +3.5
Jackie Johnson III 28 4-14 1-5 4-6 4 2 0 0 1 13 4 +1.0
Jahmere Tripp 28 5-7 1-1 3-3 6 2 3 1 2 14 17 -8.3
Josh Rivera 26 6-12 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 2 2 13 8 +5.6
Zach Riley 21 2-3 1-1 2-3 5 2 0 0 0 7 11 +13.3
Matt Zona 19 5-7 3-4 2-2 4 1 2 1 0 15 16 -2.4
Abdou Tsimbila 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 3 4 2 +14.3
Romad Dean 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 8 10 -10.9
Jaden Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.1
Ryan Pettis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1

* = starter