Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Kohler | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Amy Velasco | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Erika Porter | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Johnea Donahue | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -14.4 |
| Lexi Fleming | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Keiryn McGuff | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Jasmine Fearne | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.4 |
| Kendal Moxey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Emily Siesel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Laila Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Kristiana Kulackovska | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan McConnell | 40 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | +6.3 |
| Andjela Matic | 36 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 20 | +16.0 |
| Mackenzie Blackford | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Gabby Hutcherson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -7.6 |
| Kiandra Browne | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Raymi Coueta | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Nadia Moore | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Faith Walker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11.6 |
| Reina Green | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Fatou Sane | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Kellie McConnell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter