Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +19 (68-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Turco | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -22.6 |
| Aliya McIver | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -10.7 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -15.5 |
| Camryn Collins | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -7.1 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -14.1 |
| Emilee Tahata | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -9.8 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.8 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +6.4 |
| Emmy Roach | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Jamia Blake | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Amany Lopez | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.4 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Seppala | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +17.2 |
| Ahniysha Jackson | 29 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | +20.4 |
| Anajah Brown | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +14.3 |
| KB Hadley | 24 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Aniya Hooker | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +18.5 |
| Peppi Lohko | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +8.8 |
| Ana Conde | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6.5 |
| Myriam Traore | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Zyriah Price | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.9 |
| Eszter Turi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Zoe Richardson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
* = starter