Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Turco | 34 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Aliya McIver | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -5.0 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Camryn Collins | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -14.4 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -17.0 |
| Emilee Tahata | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -19.5 |
| Emmy Roach | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Jamia Blake | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kolliegbo | 37 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Lore Porter | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Talia Dial | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jade Rutledge | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +8.2 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 22 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Amelia Strong | 21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +9.0 |
| Jordyn Williams | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Nevaeh Otis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Jemima Lacroix | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.8 |
* = starter