Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kolliegbo | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Caliana Fenceroy | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | -16.0 |
| Talia Dial | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Jordyn Williams | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -13.0 |
| Jade Rutledge | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Marlie Dickerson | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +16.2 |
| Lore Porter | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -12.7 |
| Jemima Lacroix | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -11.8 |
| Nevaeh Otis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.7 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanaa Redmond | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Gabby Turco | 30 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 19 | +13.2 |
| Aliya McIver | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 | +12.6 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Emilee Tahata | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Camryn Collins | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Emmy Roach | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +9.8 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Amany Lopez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Jamia Blake | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.5 |
* = starter