Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Turco | 36 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | -6.6 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Camryn Collins | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Aliya McIver | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Emilee Tahata | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 16 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Emmy Roach | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Raflo | 32 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 24 | -4.9 |
| Anna LeMaster | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | -0.2 |
| Giana Hoddinott | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Gabrielle Kennerly | 23 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Tessa Engelman | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Rosa Revueltas Pareja | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Madison Ruff | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Jaedyn Jamison | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Nyodie Guerard | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Wesleigh Ferguson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +0.4 |
* = starter