Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Melaschenko | 39 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rose Caso | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Thalia Shepard | 31 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Madison Roman | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Molly Manion | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kylee Fears | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dejah Jenkins | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mia Fiore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Gabby Turco | 36 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Sanaa Redmond | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Camryn Collins | 21 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Winner Bartholomew | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Aliya McIver | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Emilee Tahata | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jamia Blake | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Emmy Roach | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter