Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +31 (84-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Turco | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -20.8 |
| Camryn Collins | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -15.7 |
| Aliya McIver | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -26.0 |
| Emmy Roach | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -11.8 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -22.7 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Emilee Tahata | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -13.1 |
| Amany Lopez | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Jamia Blake | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -11.5 |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judith Gomez | 32 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +19.9 |
| Erin Leary | 29 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | +31.4 |
| Ella Fajardo | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +19.4 |
| Zoey Ward | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +15.2 |
| Chloe Vasquez | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | +14.6 |
| Destinee Salgado | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Talia DePetrillo | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +14.6 |
| Mya Zaccagnini | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +6.2 |
| Adrianna Gonzalez | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Taliya Heron | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Amaya Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Ale Civera | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Nevaeh Stone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter