Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.4% | 0.6% | -27.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -32 (37-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Beach | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +12.2 |
| Emina Selimovic | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +5.7 |
| Meghan Andersen | 26 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Izabela Nicoletti-Leite | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +13.7 |
| Kaety L'Amoreaux | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Kendall McGruder | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +18.9 |
| Cyanne Coe | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Raiana Brown | 18 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +12.5 |
| Casey Prior | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn Collins | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -10.5 |
| Gabby Turco | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -17.8 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Aliya McIver | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -17.9 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -6.2 |
| Emmy Roach | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.7 |
| Amany Lopez | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Emilee Tahata | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Taylor Blunt | 6 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -2.9 |
| Jamia Blake | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Sam Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter