Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +26 (72-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner Bartholomew | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | -6.2 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -13.7 |
| Emmy Roach | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +4.5 |
| Aliya McIver | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -13.9 |
| Gabby Turco | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | -16.3 |
| Camryn Collins | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Jamia Blake | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Amany Lopez | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Sam Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.6 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izabela Nicoletti-Leite | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +16.8 |
| Kaety L'Amoreaux | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +22.6 |
| Emina Selimovic | 26 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +20.9 |
| Kendall McGruder | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +9.5 |
| Meghan Andersen | 21 | 6-12 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Jillian Huerter | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Cyanne Coe | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.1 |
| Raiana Brown | 13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Sydni Scott | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | -12.7 |
| Lauren Beach | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
* = starter