Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | +36.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +28 (82-54). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Farrell * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Dagny Slomack * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +13.9 |
| Lucia Noin * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Alonna Sellers * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Amaya Williams * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -7.3 |
| Selina Monestime | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Kayla Henry | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Meghan Kenefick | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +12.9 |
| Cierra Pearson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emina Selimovic * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -4.1 |
| Izabela Nicoletti-Leite * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -4.1 |
| Meghan Andersen * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -7.1 |
| Cyanne Coe * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Kaety L'Amoreaux * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Janelle Brown | 27 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -4.1 |
| Kendall McGruder | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Lauren Beach | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Raiana Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Casey Prior | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Julia Karpell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.5 |
* = starter