Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -20 (43-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaela Johnson | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +12.3 |
| Franka Wittenberg | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +12.3 |
| Yasmine Djibril | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +26.0 |
| Mariam Sanogo | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +21.2 |
| Cory Santoro | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +14.4 |
| Mary Copple | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Irene Rey Pineda | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +6.4 |
| Shariah Gailes | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -3 | -11.1 |
| Sara Carvajal Caro | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.8 |
| Corniya Clay | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Alex Moses | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Saige Randolph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn Collins | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -21.8 |
| Aliya McIver | 36 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -13.2 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 30 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.7 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -15.7 |
| Emilee Tahata | 21 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | -18.3 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | +3.4 |
| Kaylan Deveney | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Amany Lopez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Emmy Roach | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
* = starter