Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Turco | 37 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | -21.4 |
| Camryn Collins | 35 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -18.9 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -11.2 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -10.5 |
| Aliya McIver | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Emilee Tahata | 20 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -18.1 |
| Sanaa Redmond | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -12.8 |
| Jocelyn Chavez | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Emmy Roach | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Amany Lopez | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariam Sanogo | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +12.2 |
| Franka Wittenberg | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +22.5 |
| Jaela Johnson | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +19.8 |
| Mary Copple | 22 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +13.2 |
| Shariah Gailes | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +19.5 |
| Cory Santoro | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +9.8 |
| Yasmine Djibril | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +11.4 |
| Xanthippi Karatasiou | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Irene Rey Pineda | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Corniya Clay | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.7 |
| Alex Moses | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Saige Randolph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
* = starter