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2024-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 โœ— (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 75.5% 24.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Pilots +19 (74-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashley Chea 37 2-10 0-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 4 -2 -4.5
Fadima Tall 36 2-11 0-1 2-2 8 5 3 0 8 6 3 -6.1
Skye Belker 34 4-9 2-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 12 7 -5.1
Cristina Parrella 21 3-4 1-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 5 8 0 -7.3
Parker Hill 15 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 9 9 -1.0
Tabitha Amanze 15 5-5 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 0 2 10 10 -0.3
Katie Thiers 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -3.8
Olivia Hutcherson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +0.0
Toby Nweke 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Bickley 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 +2.2
Emily Eadie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2
Amelia Osgood 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
Taylor Charles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Paige Morton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Shearer 34 9-17 1-6 0-0 4 3 6 1 7 19 9 +7.0
M. Burnham 33 6-13 1-2 5-5 5 4 2 2 0 18 18 +2.6
A. Mark 30 3-5 1-2 4-8 4 2 3 0 2 11 13 -0.4
M. Meek 28 0-4 0-2 3-3 5 1 1 0 2 3 4 +0.9
L. Spear 22 5-9 0-2 1-3 4 1 2 0 0 11 9 +2.0
R. Mogel 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 6 2 +3.9
T. Hull 19 2-7 1-1 1-1 7 0 0 2 4 6 4 +5.2
N. Fraley 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0
T. Barbosa 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0
E. Zimmerman 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
A. Eddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
E. Strelein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter