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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Monmouth Hawks Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 โœ“ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“

Actual: Monmouth Hawks -20 (61-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grace Arnolie 34 8-18 3-8 2-2 5 6 0 0 5 21 9 -9.4
Isabella Mauricio 33 3-11 0-6 2-3 0 2 3 0 1 8 1 -6.4
Olivia Young 33 1-8 1-7 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 3 4 -10.7
Gianna Aiello 27 8-10 0-0 7-9 14 2 3 2 1 23 33 +4.4
Mackenzie Leahy 27 3-3 2-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 8 14 -6.8
Gia Powell 22 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 11 8 +0.4
Aima Ofunrein 11 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 4 4 -1 -7.9
B. Nelson 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 3 2 -
Mady Calhoun 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.1

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taisha Exanor 39 7-20 3-9 4-4 9 5 1 1 7 21 10 +2.1
Ella Farrelly 32 2-6 0-1 1-1 9 2 0 1 0 5 11 +11.2
Jaye Haynes 31 1-9 0-5 1-2 3 1 3 0 1 3 0 +3.0
Damaris Rodriguez 27 2-10 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -8 +7.3
D. Carter 22 6-9 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 14 6 +3.5
Kemari Reynolds 20 2-7 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 5 4 +3.8
Divine Dibula 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 3 +1.2
Belle Kranbuhl 10 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 +3.0
Rebecca Milon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1

* = starter