Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +27 (65-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Kenefick | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -23.0 |
| Amaya Williams | 29 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.0 |
| Dagny Slomack | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -15.7 |
| Lucia Noin | 28 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Jessica Farrell | 26 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Selina Monestime | 16 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Cierra Pearson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -11.5 |
| Kayla Henry | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Kaya Weiskopf | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Alonna Sellers | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.4 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivy Wolf | 33 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | +22.1 |
| Rikki Harris | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +12.5 |
| Nicole Stephens | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Arianna Smith | 19 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +13.7 |
| Nayo Lear | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +14.7 |
| Ajok Madol | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Jayda Johnson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Shantavia Dawkins | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Olivia Leung | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Eve Fiala | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Shannon Wheeler | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Molly O'Riordan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Denika Lightbourne | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Kamryn Grant | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Eleanor Monyek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter