๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 โœ— (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% - โœ—

Actual: Army Black Knights +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Primo Spears 38 6-16 1-5 9-10 9 3 1 0 4 22 15 -7.0
Marcus Millender 35 3-11 1-4 1-2 1 3 0 1 0 8 2 -1.1
Raekwon Horton 34 6-9 0-3 3-3 7 2 3 0 3 15 15 +2.4
Tai'Reon Joseph 30 5-14 3-9 3-4 3 2 2 0 3 16 6 -3.4
Jonnivius Smith 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 4 +7.1
Damari Monsanto 19 2-4 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 8 7 -12.7
David Hermes 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 4 +3.2
Skylar Wicks 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0
Baboucarr Njie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.1

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rucker 37 11-20 5-10 0-0 6 3 1 0 7 27 10 +2.7
R. Curry 33 4-9 3-8 4-5 3 5 1 0 2 15 13 +5.6
J. Scovens 28 2-8 1-3 0-0 0 0 3 1 0 5 1 +3.7
AJ Allenspach 26 4-4 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 0 3 12 13 -7.1
I. Caldwell 23 1-6 0-2 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 3 5 +6.0
B. Barker 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 3 2 -2.0
J. Everson 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 5 +10.0
J. Holloway 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 +0.1
K. McCarthy 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.0
K. Hailey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -5.0

* = starter