Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Spears | 37 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | -8.2 |
| M. Millender | 36 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | -7.5 |
| R. Horton | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -8.0 |
| J. Smith | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14.3 |
| T. Joseph | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.9 |
| D. Monsanto | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.2 |
| J. Scott | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +2.1 |
| Mo Njie | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.8 |
| S. Wicks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis | 34 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +9.2 |
| D.J. Wagner | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +11.4 |
| B. Fland | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | +0.6 |
| A. Thiero | 30 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 28 | +18.5 |
| J. Aidoo | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +3.8 |
| K. Knox | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +4.5 |
| T. Brazile | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.2 |
| B. Richmond III | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.6 |
* = starter