Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damari Monsanto * | 35 | 6-13 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | -15.9 |
| Marcus Millender * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Primo Spears * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | -13.8 |
| Raekwon Horton * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -16.5 |
| Mo Njie * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Skylar Wicks | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
| David Hermes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Zach Gonsoulin | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +8.8 |
| Tayton Conerway * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +13.8 |
| Thomas Dowd * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Jackson Fields * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +22.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +7.0 |
| Theo Seng | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Coo. Campbell | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +14.5 |
| Kameryn Mitchell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Braydon Whitaker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jackson Porch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter