Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✗ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -17 (64-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson * | 39 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | +16.6 |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +16.6 |
| Ante Beljan * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | +21.8 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +7.8 |
| Creed Williamson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Nikola Milosevic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kristiyan Popov | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Christian Hughes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Millender * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -15.2 |
| Primo Spears * | 40 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -15.9 |
| Skylar Wicks * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -13.9 |
| Mo Njie * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7.9 |
| Jaquan Scott * | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -18.4 |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 22 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -9.4 |
| Zach Gonsoulin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| David Hermes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter