Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Lewis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Raekwon Horton * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -8.2 |
| Marcus Millender * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -7.9 |
| Primo Spears * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | -15.8 |
| Damari Monsanto * | 21 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -10.6 |
| Jaquan Scott * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Mo Njie | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Skylar Wicks | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +12.2 |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.1 |
| David Hermes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zek Montgomery * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +11.0 |
| Darius Hannah * | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | +11.8 |
| Duke Deen * | 30 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | +17.3 |
| Almar Atlason * | 29 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Christian Davis * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Connor Dillon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -6.5 |
* = starter