Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -9.6 |
| M. O'Connell * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3.6 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | -6.6 |
| D. Styles * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -6.9 |
| M. Hill * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -6.9 |
| B. Middlebrooks | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -2.6 |
| B. Pass | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.0 |
| T. Parker | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +0.4 |
| D. Parker Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Heard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Heide * | 35 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +11.9 |
| F. Loyer * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +12.7 |
| T. Kaufman-Renn * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6.6 |
| M. Colvin * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.8 |
| G. Harris | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +2.7 |
| C. Furst | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
| C.J. Cox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| R. Burgess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter