Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Pence * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -9.9 |
| Landon Wolf * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -18.8 |
| Dalton Banks * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Chase Walker * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -4.7 |
| Johnny Kinziger * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Caden Boser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Jack Daugherty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Cameron Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Charles * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +11.8 |
| Christian Shumate * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Murray * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Javohn Garcia * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Omar Cooper * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Sincere Parker | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +12.3 |
| DJ Richards | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Bryant Selebangue | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Quadir Copeland | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter