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2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers UAB Blazers Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - โœ—
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 โœ— (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ—

Actual: UAB Blazers -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrell Luc * 31 4-6 0-1 6-6 5 2 1 2 1 14 17 +11.1
Colby Garland * 30 5-10 0-2 2-3 5 3 2 0 1 12 11 +11.8
KJ McClurg * 27 3-6 2-4 4-6 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 +4.2
Michael Christmas * 20 5-7 1-2 6-6 2 0 0 0 0 17 12 +19.8
Johan Nziemi * 17 3-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 6 +7.7
Emanuel Richards 25 3-9 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 8 0 +0.5
Elijah Tucker 18 3-7 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 7 1 +2.6
Jaylen Benard 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -3.7
DJ Jefferson 10 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 -1.9
Trey Hicks 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -0.8
Angelo Brizzi 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.0

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Efrem Johnson * 37 4-15 1-8 0-0 2 4 1 1 2 9 0 -12.7
Ja'Borri McGhee * 35 7-9 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 15 13 -11.8
Yaxel Lendeborg * 29 8-16 0-0 2-5 10 1 1 1 2 18 13 -7.8
Tony Toney * 28 3-10 0-3 4-4 9 3 0 0 0 10 12 +1.7
Christian Coleman * 25 5-6 0-0 5-8 5 2 1 1 2 15 16 -
Bradley Ezewiro 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -3.5
Tyren Moore 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Alejandro Vasquez 10 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -2 -14.2
Will Shaver 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 +6.6

* = starter