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2024-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Martinez * 34 2-10 1-6 9-10 2 2 2 1 0 14 11 +3.7
Mason Falslev * 32 5-12 2-5 3-4 12 2 2 0 6 15 13 +7.2
Drake Allen * 30 3-8 0-4 6-7 3 6 2 0 1 12 14 -2.1
Aubin Gateretse * 22 5-7 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 10 9 -0.2
Isaac Johnson * 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 1 -0.9
Dexter Akanno 28 4-10 3-6 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 14 10 +10.8
Karson Templin 18 1-6 0-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 3 2 +6.7
Deyton Albury 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 +11.4
Tucker Anderson 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -6.9
Jordy Barnes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -0.3

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dasonte Bowen * 36 6-12 1-3 2-4 4 4 2 0 4 15 9 -2.8
Melvin Council Jr. * 34 6-15 1-3 0-0 12 3 2 0 2 13 13 -3.9
Chance Moore * 34 4-12 2-5 2-5 7 0 1 4 1 12 11 -4.5
Lajae Jones * 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 7 7 +2.1
Noel Brown * 28 6-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 15 12 +0.7
Jonah Hinton 16 1-6 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 2 +0.1
Duane Thompson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -2.9
Michael Folarin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 4 -4.9
Noah Bolanga 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.5
Xander Wedlow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

* = starter