Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Hannah * | 33 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +13.5 |
| Zek Montgomery * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +14.6 |
| Duke Deen * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Christian Davis * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Almar Atlason * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Connor Dillon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +16.6 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Corey Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Goanar Biliew | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Timoty van der Knaap | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -12.3 |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -9.7 |
| Christian Turner * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tylan Pope * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Drue Drinnon | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Austin Green | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Jaylen Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
* = starter