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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% -
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Donaldson 36 5-13 1-6 3-4 2 3 2 1 3 14 6 -1.8
D. Wolf 35 6-10 1-4 2-4 10 5 1 0 2 15 19 +4.2
V. Goldin 32 10-12 0-0 6-7 11 2 1 3 2 26 29 +5.0
R. Gayle Jr. 31 4-11 0-5 7-7 3 3 0 0 2 15 8 +9.0
N. Burnett 29 2-7 0-5 4-4 3 0 0 1 0 8 5 +0.2
R. Jones 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -9.6
W. Tschetter 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.3
S. Walters 8 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -4 +0.5
J. Pippen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears 34 8-12 3-4 11-13 3 4 1 0 5 30 21 +7.2
G. Taylor Jr. 29 3-5 2-4 1-2 5 1 3 2 0 9 15 +13.2
D. Miles 27 5-11 3-6 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 17 9 +6.8
J. Moore 27 4-12 3-5 5-5 4 0 0 0 1 16 7 +6.1
S. Godwin 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 3 6 9 +2.5
K. Elvis 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 2 -10.3
L. Northweather 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4.7
B. Goodine 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.8
D. Forsythe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2
M. Wague 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter