Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Krass * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ronnie Harrison * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | -14.4 |
| Joseph Martinez * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.5 |
| Izzy Miles * | 33 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | -16.7 |
| Bubu Benjamin * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | -20.5 |
| Jordan Mizell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Matt Krass | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Mpaka | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Caleb Evans | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Roy Marom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samage Teel * | 35 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 18 | +14.4 |
| Bruno Alocen * | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +19.8 |
| Markus Harding * | 22 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Kmani Doughty * | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Camp Wagner * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Josiah LeGree | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Jahni Summers | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +25.6 |
| Jayan Walker | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Merritt Alderink | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Tyran Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Cooper Bean | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter