Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Aranguren * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | -0.3 |
| C. Davis * | 37 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2.3 |
| J. Sanders * | 22 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +4.0 |
| TJ Gadsden * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.0 |
| M. Graham * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| K. Farmer | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4.2 |
| S. Sunday | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -4.3 |
| K. Robinson | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.1 |
| J. DeCady | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.0 |
| G. Plotnikov | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Miles * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +2.3 |
| B. Benjamin * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +2.3 |
| J. Martinez * | 40 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +2.3 |
| N. Krass * | 37 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Mpaka * | 5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +4.3 |
| R. Harrison Jr. | 35 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 17 | -2.0 |
| J. Mizell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter