Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ford Jr. * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Derrian Ford * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Rashaud Marshall * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Taryn Todd * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Kobe Julien * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Avery Felts | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Joseph Pinion | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Cody Head | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -8.7 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Kameron Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Justin Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Josh Hill | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Broadnax * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +8.3 |
| Kellen Amos * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | -1.6 |
| Alem Huseinovic * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Caden Powell * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +6.9 |
| Trey Patterson * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Emory Lanier | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Denver Anglin | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Andrew Akuchie | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Jacob Dar | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +10.0 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Aaron Powell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter