Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +11 (87-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Harrison * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -12.0 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 8-12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | -8.4 |
| Lok Wur * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Collin Moore * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.2 |
| JaKobe Coles * | 18 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Makaih Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Caleb Shaw | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Austin Maurer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Styles Phipps | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Sammie Yeanay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Basheer Jihad * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | +7.8 |
| BJ Freeman * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Jayden Quaintance * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Adam Miller * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Joson Sanon | 29 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | +12.3 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Amier Ali | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +12.9 |
| Austin Nunez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter