Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Christian Huskies | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Rogers | 38 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Bryson Dawkins | 38 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | -7.1 |
| Elijah Brooks | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Trent Johnson | 29 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -1.7 |
| Julian Mackey | 27 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | -8.4 |
| D'Aundre Samuels | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Porter Bazil | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Bazil | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Williams | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Micah Thomas | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Addison Patterson | 32 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +8.1 |
| Jerald Colonel | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | +6.3 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Jon Sanders | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +8.6 |
| Love Bettis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Justin Redmond | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.1 |
| JT Warren | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Chris Mubiru | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| J.C. Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter