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2025-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Christian Huskies Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Johnson 39 3-9 1-2 2-2 6 0 3 0 0 9 9 +10.3
Peyton Rogers 34 2-3 1-1 3-4 11 2 2 3 1 8 22 +7.8
Bryson Dawkins 34 5-15 1-6 1-2 9 4 0 0 3 12 7 +11.1
Elijah Brooks 34 4-8 0-1 5-6 7 6 4 0 5 13 17 +10.0
Julian Mackey 29 7-13 4-8 4-5 1 0 0 0 2 22 8 +12.7
Demari Williams 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -4.9
P. Bazil 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Porter Bazil 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
D'Aundre Samuels 6 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 7 4 +5.1
Ivan Reynolds 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +1.1

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominic Pangonis 34 6-10 1-4 4-6 1 2 0 0 2 17 8 -4.0
Chrishawn Christmas 32 3-9 0-4 3-5 3 3 3 1 3 9 7 -2.8
Juhlawnei Stone 31 2-3 0-0 3-7 6 2 1 1 1 7 13 -7.0
Keon Thompson 29 6-10 1-2 6-6 4 1 1 0 2 19 13 -12.0
Nana Antwi-Boasiako 27 3-6 0-3 3-4 3 1 3 0 1 9 9 -16.5
Keith Lamar 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -0.5
Kyle Hayman 16 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 7 -1 -
Clayton Southwick 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
DaeVeon Scott 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.1

* = starter