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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Houston Christian Huskies North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 6.2% 93.8% -
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 24.3% 75.7% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +16 (62-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Rogers 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -9.5
J. Mackey 30 5-11 2-7 2-3 1 0 1 0 3 14 2 -11.5
E. Brooks 29 2-6 0-0 3-4 4 3 2 0 1 7 9 -2.1
T. Johnson 28 2-4 0-1 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 5 10 -18.5
B. Dawkins 26 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -9.6
I. Reynolds 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -4.7
D. Williams 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 3 +3.8
D. Samuels 11 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 3 1 -6.2
Po. Bazil 9 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Bazil 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Floyd 32 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 8 5 +12.2
A. Wright 31 3-9 2-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 2 +13.7
J. Massie 28 5-8 2-2 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 14 12 +4.4
B. Lorient 28 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 7 2 +12.2
R. Walker 27 3-4 0-1 1-1 5 1 1 1 1 7 10 +17.6
M. Sissoko 26 4-6 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 3 10 13 +2.8
L. Jossell 15 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 -1 +2.9
G. Newell 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 -1.5

* = starter