Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Christian Huskies | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Rogers * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | -4.9 |
| Bryson Dawkins * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Demari Williams * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Elijah Brooks * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Trent Johnson * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Julian Mackey | 26 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | -2.5 |
| D'Aundre Samuels | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Ivan Reynolds | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| P. Bazil | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primo Spears * | 39 | 11-25 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Raekwon Horton * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | -2.9 |
| Damari Monsanto * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Marcus Millender * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Mo Njie * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.5 |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7.3 |
| Skylar Wicks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter