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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Houston Christian Huskies UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.2% 82.8% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Rogers * 38 3-6 0-3 2-4 9 3 1 1 0 8 16 -4.9
B. Dawkins * 32 7-16 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 16 6 -4.7
D. Williams * 28 4-12 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 11 5 +3.8
E. Brooks * 27 2-8 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 6 0 +2.2
T. Johnson * 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 0 6 9 -6.0
J. Mackey 26 5-13 4-10 6-8 0 1 0 0 0 20 8 -2.5
D. Samuels 14 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 5 -6.3
I. Reynolds 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.6
P. Bazil 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Spears * 39 11-25 2-10 7-8 3 5 1 0 4 31 11 +4.7
R. Horton * 35 6-7 0-1 7-7 9 0 0 1 1 19 21 -2.9
D. Monsanto * 28 3-8 3-8 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 11 8 +4.0
M. Millender * 27 1-4 0-1 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 6 6 +6.7
Mo Njie * 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 5 7 +1.1
J. Smith 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 0 2 12 -2.3
B. Njie 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 +6.5
N. Mahmoud 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 +7.3
S. Wicks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter