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2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Houston Christian Huskies Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 โœ— (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Christian Huskies -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent McLaughlin * 40 9-20 3-10 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 23 11 +2.5
Jayden Jackson * 33 2-9 0-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 0 4 5 +11.0
Carson Towt * 32 7-9 0-0 0-1 8 2 0 0 1 14 14 +2.1
Oakland Fort * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 +11.4
Ryan Abelman * 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 +10.5
Monty Bowser 16 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -15.1
Diego Campisano 15 3-4 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 9 7 +5.6
Dillan Baker 13 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -3.0
Jack Wistrcill 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -5.2
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -4.1
C.J. Ford 5 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -4.1
Ali Ragab 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Brooks * 36 13-19 1-2 2-3 6 1 2 0 2 29 17 -2.1
Julian Mackey * 34 10-19 3-9 5-5 8 3 0 0 5 28 15 -2.1
Peyton Rogers * 30 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 +3.4
Ivan Reynolds * 29 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 4 2 0 0 1 8 +1.6
Trent Johnson * 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 0 2 -12.6
Demari Williams 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 +2.2
Bryson Dawkins 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Porter Bazil 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
P. Bazil 6 1-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D'Aundre Samuels 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +1.0
Mason McBride 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter