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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -1 (89-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Robinson * 43 9-15 4-5 3-5 1 4 3 1 10 25 9 +2.9
T. Johnson * 42 7-13 0-4 4-5 5 0 2 1 2 18 11 +2.9
A. Holt * 37 7-10 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 2 14 14 +8.4
C. Bryant * 30 5-8 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 11 8 +11.0
B. Shoulders * 27 4-6 2-4 3-4 7 3 2 0 1 13 18 +3.2
TJ Grant 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -0.6
A. Montas Jr. 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -2.2
M. Overstreet 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 0 5 4 -5.6
J. Quinones 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.7
L. Vaistaras 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
J. Nze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McCray V * 41 8-18 2-5 2-2 8 5 2 0 5 20 12 -0.7
Z. Bell * 37 6-16 1-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 13 3 -4.4
J. Spence * 34 4-9 0-1 3-3 3 4 2 0 2 11 9 +2.5
S. Payne III * 27 3-6 0-0 5-7 13 0 2 1 2 11 19 +3.7
K. Munson * 23 6-13 0-1 2-5 6 1 2 0 0 14 10 +1.5
Z. Nwokeji 23 3-6 3-6 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 11 6 -3.8
D. Rivers 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 2 0 1 8 -3.4
C. Arias 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -3.3
K. Jackson 7 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 +0.8
E. Borio 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -3.1

* = starter