Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal -7 (90-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Koonce * | 33 | 12-16 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 22 | +11.8 |
| Jarred Hyder * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Isaac Jessup * | 29 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | +18.7 |
| Mac Riniker * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Peter Bandelj * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +17.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +8.2 |
| Luka Tarlac | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Kieran Elliott | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Menzies | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Logan McLaughlin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
| Isaac Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Hayden Jory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Paul Bizimana | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Blakes * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -9.0 |
| R. Agarwal * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -12.8 |
| M. Raynaud * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -7.7 |
| Oziyah Sellers * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -12.2 |
| A. Cammann * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.3 |
| B. Gealer | 33 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -12.1 |
| C. Okpara | 25 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -2.2 |
| A. Batson Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Javoy Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.7 |
* = starter