Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson * | 31 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 10 | -7.7 |
| Leo DeBruhl * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Niko Rocak * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Sione Lose * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Pablo Tamba * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -14.7 |
| Connor Sevilla | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -10.7 |
| Nils Cooper | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Derek Sangster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Raynaud * | 38 | 13-26 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 20 | +10.3 |
| B. Gealer * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Oziyah Sellers * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Blakes * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +10.2 |
| C. Okpara * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +8.6 |
| R. Agarwal | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -5.2 |
| A. Cammann | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +5.9 |
| A. Batson Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
| D. Saran | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter