Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -0.1 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -12.2 |
| JaCobi Wood * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5 | -18.4 |
| Kylen Milton * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -21.0 |
| Nick Ellington * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.3 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4.3 |
| Justin Morgan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmael Leggett * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +17.9 |
| Damian Dunn * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | +18.1 |
| Cameron Corhen * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Jaland Lowe * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zack Austin | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | +18.4 |
| Brandin Cummings | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter