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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 โœ— (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ—

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Lipscomb 36 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 3 2 1 4 4 7 +9.1
Dola Adebayo 35 5-11 0-1 0-0 11 1 1 1 3 10 10 +2.6
Carmelo Pacheco 34 5-9 4-8 2-2 1 1 2 1 0 16 12 +7.8
Jedy Cordilia 30 5-9 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 11 9 +1.9
Javon Ervin 30 3-8 1-1 3-4 3 4 1 0 5 10 5 +2.3
Terrell Ard Jr. 25 7-9 0-2 4-6 7 2 2 0 2 18 18 -9.7
A. Khadre Kebe 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 5 5 -
Arlandus Keyes 14 2-7 0-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 4 -3 +3.9
Trey Wilson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.0

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Cleveland 42 6-15 1-4 6-6 6 0 2 0 1 19 11 -2.6
L. Kidd 37 4-8 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 0 3 8 13 -4.0
Brandon Johnson 33 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 3 4 2 3 2 9 -2.6
J. Blackmon 32 6-16 2-9 2-2 0 3 0 1 2 16 2 +1.7
Jalil Bethea 29 5-12 2-5 5-6 4 2 3 0 1 17 13 -0.8
A.J. Staton-McCray 24 4-10 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 8 2 -3.5
Divine Ugochukwu 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 -5.6
Paul Djobet 9 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 +4.3

* = starter