Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop Eagles | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Harrison | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -20.3 |
| N. Johnson | 28 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | -12.3 |
| K. Talford | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -20.2 |
| K.J. Doucet | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -17.7 |
| B. Baker | 23 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | +1.0 |
| P. Jones III | 16 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -4.9 |
| T. Hamilton | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| T. Kamarad | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -12.3 |
| I. Wilson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5.2 |
| R. Jolly | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Y. Diallo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Watkins | 33 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +28.4 |
| M. Ewin | 31 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 24 | +25.2 |
| C. Jackson | 31 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +16.1 |
| D. Davis | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +20.9 |
| J. Thomas | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +5.4 |
| AJ Swinton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.4 |
| J. Deng | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -7.6 |
| C. Nitu | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Maluk | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
* = starter