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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Log Adjusted 9.7% 90.3% -
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Harrison 31 1-4 0-1 1-3 3 5 1 0 0 3 8 -20.3
N. Johnson 28 4-14 1-6 8-8 3 1 1 0 3 17 5 -12.3
K. Talford 26 2-5 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 1 1 8 9 -20.2
K.J. Doucet 26 4-9 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 8 2 -17.7
B. Baker 23 6-12 6-12 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 18 9 +1.0
P. Jones III 16 1-8 1-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -5 -4.9
T. Hamilton 14 0-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -3.1
T. Kamarad 12 0-5 0-4 1-3 2 1 0 1 1 1 -1 -12.3
I. Wilson 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -5.2
R. Jolly 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 -1.1
Y. Diallo 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.2

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Watkins 33 6-14 3-8 8-8 5 4 1 0 4 23 15 +28.4
M. Ewin 31 10-15 0-0 1-3 15 4 1 0 2 21 24 +25.2
C. Jackson 31 5-8 2-2 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 14 13 -
T.B. Bowen 28 6-9 1-2 0-0 13 0 0 2 3 13 16 +16.1
D. Davis 25 1-7 0-4 2-2 0 1 4 1 2 4 1 +20.9
J. Thomas 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 7 5 +5.4
AJ Swinton 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -10.4
J. Deng 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 -7.6
C. Nitu 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Maluk 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -2 -0.9

* = starter