Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +20 (72-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Krass * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Chris Mpaka * | 40 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 26 | -18.5 |
| Bubu Benjamin * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | -18.5 |
| Izzy Miles * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -24.5 |
| Jordan Mizell * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -9.9 |
| M. Krass | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Joseph Martinez | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Roy Marom | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| C. Course | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.B. Bowen * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +19.2 |
| Jamir Watkins * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +22.8 |
| Chandler Jackson * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Bostyn Holt * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +11.4 |
| Malique Ewin * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Daquan Davis | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Justin Thomas | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Jerry Deng | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +16.7 |
| AJ Swinton | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Alier Maluk | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Christian Nitu | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Waka Mbatch | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Jesse Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jason Simpson | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jalen Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter