Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 14-22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 24 | +10.8 |
| T.B. Bowen * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Malique Ewin * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Chandler Jackson * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Bostyn Holt * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Justin Thomas | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +11.6 |
| Daquan Davis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +5.0 |
| Alier Maluk | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.9 |
| Jerry Deng | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| AJ Swinton | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Christian Nitu | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anastasios Rozakeas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Broadnax * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -8.2 |
| Alem Huseinovic * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Emory Lanier * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Kellen Amos * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Caden Powell * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Trey Patterson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -9.4 |
| Jacob Dar | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +9.7 |
| Andrew Akuchie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Denver Anglin | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -11.0 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Aaron Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter