Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -12.6 |
| Jakari Spence | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -9.0 |
| Donovan Rivers | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Chris Arias | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -19.8 |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Zach Bell | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Enrico Borio | 18 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Stephon Payne III | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -10.8 |
| Kendall Munson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Kent Jackson | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Tito Deng | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Maximus Fuentes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | +17.9 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | +15.6 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 28 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +21.1 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | +10.0 |
| Dallan Coleman | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +12.3 |
| Benny Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Rokas Jocius | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.4 |
| D. Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nils Machowski | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Mikey Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter