Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. * | 38 | 11-25 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 10 | -9.3 |
| Sam Silverstein * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Kendal Coleman * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -8.6 |
| Adam Moussa * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | -15.4 |
| AJ Braun * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -1.2 |
| Javonté Johnson | 28 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Bradey Henige | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Tylen Riley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Jalen Dollar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +11.4 |
| Keyshawn Hall * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Nils Machowski * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +6.5 |
| JJ Taylor | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Benny Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +11.7 |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rokas Jocius | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter