Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +6 (100-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Evans Jr. * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Leland Walker * | 32 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | +4.4 |
| Baba Miller * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +13.6 |
| KyKy Tandy * | 19 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +19.0 |
| Kaleb Glenn | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -9.2 |
| Tre Carroll | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall * | 36 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 19 | -1.7 |
| Darius Johnson * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | -9.3 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13.0 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Benny Williams | 22 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +9.5 |
| JJ Taylor | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +9.9 |
| D. Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nils Machowski | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Rokas Jocius | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter