Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +25 (89-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hawthorne * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -24.0 |
| Langston Reynolds * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -19.1 |
| Jaron Rillie * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Brock Wisne * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Zach Bloch * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Quinn Denker | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | -23.4 |
| Marcell McCreary | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -8.5 |
| Egan Shields | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8.6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 24 | +19.1 |
| Chance McMillian * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +21.8 |
| JT Toppin * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | +20.8 |
| Elijah Hawkins * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +15.8 |
| Kerwin Walton * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.4 |
| Kevin Overton | 28 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +11.1 |
| Christian Anderson | 22 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Federiko Federiko | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +11.1 |
| Eemeli Yalaho | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Leon Horner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter