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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% -
Margin 0.8% 99.2% +26.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% -
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 7.5% 92.5% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +35 (84-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stevenson 36 5-14 0-3 1-2 6 7 2 0 4 11 8 -31.7
E. Ross 35 4-9 0-1 8-9 4 3 0 0 3 16 11 -32.7
L. Hutchinson 30 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 2 -18.4
PJ Edwards 21 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 4 5 -14.0
J. Flippin 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -7.9
S. Ray 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 2 6 -10.0
C. Newton 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -21.9
K. Dozier 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -3 -17.3
P.J. Eason 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -6.6
E. Nnaji 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. James 30 3-9 1-6 0-0 4 8 2 1 0 7 13 +31.7
D. Mitchell 25 6-9 0-1 1-1 7 0 3 1 0 13 15 +28.3
S. Lukosius 25 2-7 1-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 0 +16.1
D. Skillings Jr. 23 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 2 1 7 5 +20.5
A. Bandaogo 21 5-6 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 1 0 15 17 +21.9
T. Betsey 20 3-8 2-7 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 +16.0
D. Thomas 15 4-9 2-3 2-3 5 3 3 0 1 12 13 +13.7
A. Page 14 3-3 1-1 2-4 6 0 0 1 0 9 13 +7.5
CJ Fredrick Jr. 12 1-2 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -1.2
J. Reed 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.7
H. Dzellat 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 +2.9
R. Griffith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.9

* = starter